Telling the Future
Talking About the Future
NonProphets Holiday Reunion Special
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NonProphets Holiday Reunion Special

"The future's not magic—it's probability!"

In this episode of Talking About the Future, I’m joined by Atief Heermance and Scott Eastman for a special reunion episode of NonProphets, the forecasting podcast we used to do (please note there’s some swearing in this episode). We talk about the danger of sharing too much about what we believe, why people believe so many crazy things, the questions we proposed for the Metaculus ACX 2025 Prediction Contest, the Pantone Color of the Year for 2026, and the phenomenon of “enshittification.” We close the episode by debuting some new songs ChatGPT and Suno AI generated for our reunion, including—at the very end of the podcast—the theme for a NonProphets Saturday morning cartoon. I apologize for the quality of my audio track—I badly messed up the placement of my microphone—but hopefully it’s mostly intelligible. You can listen to our conversation using the audio player above or through most podcast platforms.

Cartoon drawing of three men in a teal convertible with the words, "Super Ford Caster" on the passenger side door. They all have expressions of their faces that suggest they have seen things no mortal should see.
The NonProphets in the Super Ford Caster (Atief Heermance/Nano Banana)

Unfortunately, old NonProphets episodes are no longer available online. If there’s an old episode you’re interested in hearing, message me and I’ll try to get you a copy. Mentioned in this episode are Ezra Klein’s interview with Ross Douthat; Ross Douthat’s interview with Diana Walsh Pasulka; Jacques Vallée’s book, Passport to Magonia; and Paul Graham’s essay, “Keep Your Identity Small.” If you enjoy this episode I’d be grateful if you shared it with others or liked it by clicking the heart button below. And please subscribe, if you haven’t already!

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December 24, 2025 tweet from the US Department of Energy reading, "What we’re blasting this Christmas season. 🖤🎶" Attached is an image of a red sleigh filled with coal with the caption, "ALL I WANT FOR CHRISTMAS IS YOU Beautiful Clean Coal."

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