AI

Toby Shevlane on Building AI Forecasters

"In a few months time it’s my belief that it will no longer be clear that systems like Mantic are below the performance of the human pros"

Nov 13 •

Robert de Neufville

49:20

Through AI, Darkly

We taught it language, now it knows how to curse

Aug 29 •

Robert de Neufville

Language Models Still Can't Forecast

All my forecasts are hand produced by humans

Jul 31 •

Robert de Neufville

The Coming Economic Singularity

I was instructed by my creators to address the topic of "white genocide"

May 26 •

Robert de Neufville

Peter Wildeford on Forecasting AI Progress

"I'm coming around to the maybe-lines-just-keep-going-up-indefinitely thing"

Mar 19 •

Robert de Neufville

53:20

The Future Starts Now

What I'm reading about AI at the start of 2025

Jan 27 •

Robert de Neufville

Google's Breakthrough Weather AI

The weather may be getting worse, but we're getting better at forecasting it

Dec 20, 2024 •

Robert de Neufville

Can AI Compete With Human Forecasters?

It looks like not yet

Oct 12, 2024 •

Robert de Neufville

Wake up babe new AI model just dropped

Sep 17, 2024 •

Robert de Neufville

Could AI Eat the World?

Maybe the real shoggoth is us

Nov 6, 2023 •

Robert de Neufville

Forecasting the End of the World

New estimates of p(doom)

Jul 25, 2023 •

Robert de Neufville

What Kind of Future Will AI Bring?

Believe some of the hype

Jun 17, 2023 •

Robert de Neufville

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