Telling the Future
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Balkan Devlen on NATO and European Security
"Donald Trump's foreign policy style is one of high variance"
Nov 21, 2024
•
Robert de Neufville
2
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1
45:00
Jean-Pierre Beugoms and Scott Eastman on Ukraine
"Once the two sides realize that the costs of continuing the war exceed the potential gains from the war then we'll start to reach the endgame"
Jun 24, 2024
•
Robert de Neufville
8
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46:01
The Next Taiwan Strait Crisis
A major crisis isn't likely this year, but the risk is growing
May 9, 2024
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Robert de Neufville
11
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The Next Taiwan Strait Crisis
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2
The Nuclear Option
Will Putin choose escalation?
Oct 16, 2022
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Robert de Neufville
7
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The Nuclear Option
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War of Attrition
Who will wear down who?
Jun 4, 2022
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Robert de Neufville
5
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War of Attrition
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What's the Endgame of the War in Ukraine?
It looks like we're headed for a stalemate
Apr 15, 2022
•
Robert de Neufville
11
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What's the Endgame of the War in Ukraine?
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The Prospects for Peace
Wars generally don't end quickly
Mar 25, 2022
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Robert de Neufville
9
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The Prospects for Peace
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Can Putin Survive?
Holding onto power is what Putin does
Mar 16, 2022
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Robert de Neufville
11
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Can Putin Survive?
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6
The Dangers of a No-Fly Zone
I have serious concerns
Mar 9, 2022
•
Robert de Neufville
4
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The Dangers of a No-Fly Zone
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Could Russia Use Nuclear Weapons?
The chance is small, but higher than it should be
Mar 2, 2022
•
Robert de Neufville
10
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Could Russia Use Nuclear Weapons?
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4
Notes on Forecasting the Invasion of Ukraine
Should we have seen it coming more clearly?
Feb 25, 2022
•
Robert de Neufville
9
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Notes on Forecasting the Invasion of Ukraine
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4
Will Russia Invade Ukraine?
If we act like we're going to war, we're probably going to war
Feb 13, 2022
•
Robert de Neufville
10
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Will Russia Invade Ukraine?
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