Telling the Future
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49:20
Toby Shevlane on Building AI Forecasters
"In a few months time it’s my belief that it will no longer be clear that systems like Mantic are below the performance of the human pros"
Nov 13
•
Robert de Neufville
4
1
1
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Discussions
American Totalitarianism
Demagogues rise when the social order breaks down
Oct 29
•
Robert de Neufville
5
2
We Must Not Go Down This Road
Violence multiplies violence
Oct 2
•
Robert de Neufville
9
Josh Rosenberg on Forecasting Research
"In the next year to eight years, the extrapolated trend would suggest that AIs will catch up to superforecasters"
Sep 24
•
Robert de Neufville
12
3
41:55
Through AI, Darkly
We taught it language, now it knows how to curse
Aug 29
•
Robert de Neufville
11
8
1
Reflections on Surviving Strokes
I never realized how much I love walking
Aug 14
•
Robert de Neufville
25
17
1
Language Models Still Can't Forecast
All my forecasts are hand produced by humans
Jul 31
•
Robert de Neufville
8
10
3
Postcard from Québec
Back soon
Jul 7
•
Robert de Neufville
5
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Telling the Future
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