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Forecasting Extraordinary Events
There's a first time for everything
May 23
•
Robert de Neufville
4
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Forecasting Extraordinary Events
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April 2023
The Future of Telling the Future
Good news!
Apr 29
•
Robert de Neufville
6
8
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The Future of Telling the Future
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Practically Unopposed
Trump's campaign isn't meeting much resistance
Apr 22
•
Robert de Neufville
9
4
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Practically Unopposed
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Clouds and Clocks
Reply hazy, try again later
Apr 1
•
Robert de Neufville
15
3
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Clouds and Clocks
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March 2023
The Predictable and the Unpredictable
Foresight is maybe 20/200
Mar 4
•
Robert de Neufville
8
6
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The Predictable and the Unpredictable
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February 2023
A Semi-Soft Kind of Landing
Will what goes up finally come down?
Feb 17
•
Robert de Neufville
5
6
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A Semi-Soft Kind of Landing
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The Predictive Power of Simple Rules
Don't overthink it
Feb 3
•
Robert de Neufville
3
4
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The Predictive Power of Simple Rules
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January 2023
New Year, New Forecasts
The future starts now
Jan 20
•
Robert de Neufville
11
14
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New Year, New Forecasts
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December 2022
Is This the End of Trumpism?
The party no longer decides
Dec 17, 2022
•
Robert de Neufville
5
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Is This the End of Trumpism?
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November 2022
Can Democrats Hold on to Congress?
Don't forget to vote
Nov 5, 2022
•
Robert de Neufville
4
12
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Can Democrats Hold on to Congress?
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October 2022
The Nuclear Option
Will Putin choose escalation?
Oct 16, 2022
•
Robert de Neufville
7
3
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The Nuclear Option
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Will Trump Be the Nominee in 2024?
Ugh probably
Oct 1, 2022
•
Robert de Neufville
3
4
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Will Trump Be the Nominee in 2024?
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