Telling the Future

Tacoma the Precious

Stay stubborn

Apr 9 • Robert de Neufville

11

2

3

March 2026

New Year, New World Order

Sometimes you need allies

Mar 30 • Robert de Neufville

4

3

Something Big

AI comes at you fast

Mar 9 • Robert de Neufville

6

3

1

February 2026

Could the Democrats Retake the Senate?

Fish, family, freedom

Feb 10 • Robert de Neufville

6

3

1

January 2026

The American Crisis

Minnesota No ICE

Jan 27 • Robert de Neufville

9

8

1

December 2025

NonProphets Holiday Reunion Special

"The future's not magic—it's probability!"

Dec 30, 2025 • Robert de Neufville

4

1

53:23

Climbing Koko Crater

A personal note

Dec 16, 2025 • Robert de Neufville

17

7

Will 2026 Be a Blue Wave Year?

Midterms are a referendum on the party in power

Dec 8, 2025 • Robert de Neufville

7

2

2

November 2025

Toby Shevlane on Building AI Forecasters

"In a few months time it’s my belief that it will no longer be clear that systems like Mantic are below the performance of the human pros"

Nov 13, 2025 • Robert de Neufville

5

1

49:20

October 2025

American Totalitarianism

Demagogues rise when the social order breaks down

Oct 29, 2025 • Robert de Neufville

5

2

We Must Not Go Down This Road

Violence multiplies violence

Oct 2, 2025 • Robert de Neufville

9

September 2025

Josh Rosenberg on Forecasting Research

"In the next year to eight years, the extrapolated trend would suggest that AIs will catch up to superforecasters"

Sep 24, 2025 • Robert de Neufville

13

3

41:55