Is This the End of Trumpism?
Can Democrats Hold on to Congress?
The Nuclear Option
Will Trump Be the Nominee in 2024?
Biden Will Probably Run Again and Win
Not Sending Their Best
How Will Dobbs Affect the Midterms?
Postcard from the Hospital
Postcard from Québec
The Coming Red Wave
Keeping Score
War of Attrition
A Recession May Be in Our Future
The Parable of the Rocks
Possible Worlds
What's the Endgame of the War in Ukraine?
No Immediate Miracles
Forecasting Is My Job Now
The Prospects for Peace
Can Putin Survive?
The Dangers of a No-Fly Zone
Could Russia Use Nuclear Weapons?
Notes on Forecasting the Invasion of Ukraine
Forecasting Is a Skill
Will Russia Invade Ukraine?
Coming Soon
